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A single calculation just cost a buyer a house they actually wanted. They could afford it. They liked it. But they’d talked themselves out of the price using a number that felt authoritative and wasn’t. Once that number was in their head, there was no bringing them back to the table.
The listing runs about 2,500 square feet. Nearby, a roughly 3,000-square-foot home had recently sold, so the buyer took its price per square foot, multiplied it against my listing, and landed on a figure about $75,000 under what we were asking.
Clean math. Wrong answer.
Using price per square foot as a starting point is completely reasonable. The mistake was treating it as the finish line, which is one of the most common pricing errors I see.
A smaller home usually costs more per foot, not less. Line up two houses on the same street, one at 2,500 feet, one at 3,000, and ask which should carry the higher price per square foot. Most people guess they’d be equal. They’re not, and the smaller one usually wins. It comes down to this: the priciest parts of a house don’t multiply when the house gets bigger. That 3,000-foot home didn’t add a second kitchen, a second set of water heaters, or a second driveway. The expensive bones got spread across more space.
So the bigger home is worth more in total, while each additional foot is worth a little less, which is exactly why larger homes tend to post a lower price per square foot than their smaller neighbors. Understanding that distinction is one of the things worth pinning down before you ever hire an agent to price your home.
You’d never price a car this way. Think about shopping for an SUV. You wouldn’t take the sticker price and divide it by the vehicle’s weight to decide what it’s worth. One has leather, one has cloth. One shows 10,000 miles; another 100,000. One’s been wrecked, one’s loaded with every safety feature. Weight barely touches value, and square footage behaves the same way. It’s a single data point, not a verdict.
The features buyers pay for are invisible to the formula. Take two homes of the exact same size. One backs to a quiet greenbelt, the other to a six-lane road. Same footage, very different value. One has a kitchen remodeled last year, the other one untouched since the Bush administration. Same footage, different value again. Now start adding a pool, a three-car garage, a cul-de-sac lot, the kind of light that makes people stop in the doorway, and watch how fast the price moves. Not one of those things lands anywhere in a price-per-square-foot number.
So when someone tells you the neighborhood is going for $325 a foot, the only honest response is a question: which homes? That’s the doorway into a real pricing conversation, and in a market that’s been shifting the way Austin’s has this year, it matters more than ever.
Real pricing was never about finding one figure and multiplying it out. It’s about what buyers will actually pay for this home, with these features, in this market, today. Real estate is drowning in numbers. The skill isn’t gathering them; it’s knowing the few that matter. Price per square foot is a genuinely useful statistic. It just makes a terrible appraisal.
If you’re weighing a move anywhere around Austin and you want to know what a home is truly worth, rather than what one tidy number implies, I’d love to have that conversation. Call or text me at 512-568-1222, email me at julie@julieghomes.com, or visit julieghomesgroup.com. Bring me the number that’s got you stuck, and let’s find out what the home is actually worth.
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